headroom-estimation
Estimate theoretical/practical ceiling vs current SOTA gap
DeepseekModel
Curated skill
Quality Excellent · 78
v1.0.0
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name headroom-estimation description Estimate theoretical/practical ceiling vs current SOTA gap execution subagent prompt ./prompt.md input task_name, current_sota, human_performance, theoretical_bounds Headroom Estimation Purpose Quantify the remaining improvement potential for a task by estimating various performance ceilings and computing the gap between current SOTA and those ceilings. Distinguishes between theoretical limits (information-theoretic), practical limits (current paradigm), and human performance baselines. Input Schema Field Type Description task_name string The target task current_sota object {method, score, metric, dataset, date} human_performance object {score, conditions, source} or null theoretical_bounds object {bound_type, value, derivation} or null Output Schema { "task" : "string" , "dataset" : "string" , "metric" : "string" , "ceilings" : { "theoretical" : { "value" : null , "type" : "information_theoretic|bayes_optimal|combinatorial" , "derivation" : "string" , "confidence" : "high|medium|low|speculative" } , "human" : { "value" : null , "conditions" : "string" , "source" : "string" , "is_expert" : true , "confidence" : "high|medium|low" } , "practical" : { "value" : null , "assumptions" : "string" , "based_on" : "string" , "confidence" : "medium|low|speculative" } } , "headroom" : { "vs_theoretical" : null , "vs_human" : null , "vs_practical" : null , "interpretation" : "string" } , "saturation_assessment" : { "status" : "saturating|active_progress|early_stage|unknown" , "evidence" : "string" , "years_to_human_parity" : null } }
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